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The Hungarian government has made it clear that it will veto EU sanctions on Russian oil imports, and its rejection has EU diplomats considering scrapping the largest element of the bloc’s sixth sanctions package, EU diplomats told Politico. As Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues, the Union may put forward the rest of the sanctions package without a complete ban on crude and refined fuel from Russia, then continue negotiating a deal with Hungary.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed the complete prohibition of Russian oil imports in the draft of REPowerEU, the Union’s plan to overcome its reliance on Russian energy. The EU is helping finance Russia’s war in Ukraine with continued imports, and cutting itself off from Russian energy would be a huge blow to the country’s economy, paired with already existing economic sanctions. But a joint move on sanctions requires unanimous support from all 27 Member States.

Politico: EU Leaders Consider Paying Hungarian Gov't to Support Oil Sanctions
Politico: EU Leaders Consider Paying Hungarian Gov't to Support Oil Sanctions

The oil sanctions, proposed on May 4, have been described by Prime Minister Viktor Orbán as the equivalent of dropping a "nuclear bomb" on Hungary's economy.Continue reading

Viktor Orbán’s government has made it clear that it will block the sanctions package, since it needs more time before it agrees. The Commission has offered Hungary two years more than the rest of the EU to end oil imports from Russia (by 2024), along with potential financial compensation.

EU Agrees on Around “90 Percent” of Sanctions

The Czech Republic is also negotiating the extension, and a Slovakian spokesperson told Euronews that Slovakia is willing to accelerate the repurposing of its refinery which currently depends 100% on Russian oil. The dependence of refineries on Russian crude oil is a general issue in countries such as Slovakia, Hungary, and Bulgaria.

The EU is in agreement on around “90 percent” of the sanctions package, one EU diplomat told Politico, “So why not do it like this, be pragmatic and then continue the energy discussion?” The individual noted that the exception of the oil ban would “send a bad signal,” while another diplomat said it is better to agree on 90 percent of the oil ban than none of it at all.

PM Orbán in Talks with President Macron on EU Oil Embargo
PM Orbán in Talks with President Macron on EU Oil Embargo

"I think we could strike a deal this week," French European Affairs Minister Clement Beaune said earlier in the day, before the phone conversation between President Macron and Prime Minister Orbán.Continue reading

EU leaders have also tried to convince Orbán to change his opinion on the oil embargo. French President Emmanuel Macron spoke to the Hungarian prime minister over the phone hoping to finalize negotiations. Guy Verhofstadt, Member of the European Parliament for Belgium and former Leader of the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe, shared a quote from Bulgarian Prime Minister Kiril Petkov, adding that Orbán’s veto power should be dropped, since this would allow the EU to “stand up to Putin united.”

Telex has been informed that there are three potential paths that can be taken now:

  •  The whole sanctions package will be put to a vote, risking the Hungarian veto,
  • Member States vote in most of the sanctions package but leave the section on an oil embargo until the end of May, which would not receive good publicity due to oil sanctions being the main point of this package,
  • or Hungary’s veto sends the entire decision to the end of May, which would also indicate weakness and disunity in the EU.

The news portal notes that the EU faces a lose-lose situation, since its economy will be weakened if it ends oil imports, but its reputation will be weakened if it continues them.

Featured photo illustration by Vivien Cher Benko/MTI/Prime Minister’s Press Office


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