Over the year 2015, Hungary’s governing centre-right Fidesz-KDNP party alliance has stabilised its lead in the party contest, regaining strength by an additional 8 percentage points after having a low point at the beginning of the year (26 per cent), a survey conducted by the think tank Nézőpont Institute shows.
Based on polls, the central field of power has been restored by the end of 2015, which was destabilized prior to the immigration crisis and after Jobbik’s Tapolca victory. Currently, none of the opposition forces present a substantial threat to the governing parties.
Jobbik has been able to show only some quickly fading partial successes this year. After the victory at Tapolca their support was at nearly 20 percent, but by the end of the year, the Jobbik camp has shrunk to 10 percent. After the October and November gains, these recent setbacks spelled the end of the party’s ’people’ party’ ambitions.
The Left has not been able to make any gains at all. Within the total population, the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) has been rated below the 10 percent support level since the spring that is considered to be a threshold and DK has been stagnating all year. While the green LMP has been brushing the parliamentary threshold from below, Együtt and PM could hardly be registered at various times.
According to Nézőpont Intézet’s December poll, within the total population, Fidesz-KDNP’s support is consistently 34 percent. Jobbik has 10, MSZP 9, DK 6 and LMP 3 percent, while Együtt has 1 percent voter support.
Based on the most likely results along lists (potential voters) Fidesz-KDNP is at 48 percent, Jobbik has 21, MSZP 11, DK 9, while Együtt and PM have 1 % each, respectively. LMP currently has 4%.