A large-sample public opinion poll conducted by the think tank Századvég in November has found that the events and political conflicts that have unravelled since municipal elections in October have had no significant impact on long-term political power relations. The relevation comes as another major pollster, Tárki, claimed on the basis of a survey it conducted in the previous month that Fidesz had suffered a “landslide loss of popularity”.
The Századvég poll, which covers “active voters” (i. e. those who regularly or at least from time to time take part in elections), registered a slight, four per cent decrease in Fidesz’s popularity compared to October; however, left-wing parties were unable to meaningfully strengthen their positions in the period. Support for Jobbik increased by one per cent among active voters to 14 per cent. In this group, Fidesz currently stands at 37 per cent, while popular backing for MSZP in November was 9 per cent, LMP fared at 6 per cent, DK achieved 5 per cent and Együtt 4 per cent. Among active voters, Fidesz’s lead over the second Jobbik is well over twofold, the pollster’s statement reads.
Századvég’s research also registered an increase in the popularity of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán in relation to December 2010, when 39 per cent of respondents had a positive opinion of the head of the cabinet compared to the present 46 per cent. The pollster highlights that the Left remains fractured and weak, and has been unable to profit from the events that took place following municipal elections. DK leader and former Socialist Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsány, who openly aspires to become the leader of a future unified left-wing opposition, remains the most unpopular politician in the country.
Századvég’s findings are in stark contrast to results obtained by another pollster, Tárki, in November. Tárki concluded that the Fidesz-KDNP lost twelve per cent of its following among the entire population compared to November, which dropped to 25 per cent. The pollster described this as a “landslide loss of popularity” but pointed out that the advantage of governing parties over the opposition remains clear.