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Elections 2018: According to Pro-Govt Institute, Ruling Fidesz-KDNP Keeps a Confident Lead

By Hungary Today // 2018.03.29.

With eleven days to go until the April 8 general election, the ruling Fidesz-Christian Democrats alliance maintains its lead over the opposition, according a new poll by the government-funded Nézőpont Institute.

The first column at each party shows preferenc among the entire population (potential voters), while the second column shows preference among decided voters (who claimed their intention to vote on April 8). Graph: Nézőpont Ins.

Among decided voters, 52% support the governing parties. The radical nationalist Jobbik party is backed by 15% (a marked fall from nearly 21% in 2014), the Socialist-Párbeszéd alliance by 11%, the Democratic Coalition (DK) and LMP by both 8% respectively. The Momentum Movement is supported by 3% of decided voters and the satirical Two-tailed Dog Party by 2%, with both parties falling short of the 5% threshold of parliamentary representation, the pollster said. Forty one percent of the whole electorate backs the ruling alliance, 9% Jobbik, 5% the Socialist-Párbeszéd list, 4% DK and LMP both, 2% Momentum and 1% the Two-tailed Dog Party. The poll was conducted on a sample of 1,000 respondents between March 3 and 19.

While relevant analysts and polling stations agree that the ruling alliance leads without a major contender, both the Jobbik-friendly Iránytű Institute and left-liberal leaning Závech Reearch Institute have recently found that Fidesz-KDNP’s lead is shrinking, possibly due to recent scandals. It is, however, important to note as well that, as per this latest survey more than a third of the whole population is undecided, which means that either they don’t intend to vote at all or they haven’t decided yet. Surprises, thus, are imaginable. As elections are approaching, HT publishes a party roundup on each Monday. You can find our latest summary here.


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image via Szigetváry Zsolt/ MTI